Match Info

Euroleague - Round 28

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Basketbol Gelisim Merkezi (Istanbul)

Referee: Theis C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 7
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 4
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	EuroLeague TV


	Anadolu Efes Pilsen		Virtus Bologna

	1	2
	1.44	2.55	Watch
	1.48	2.65	Watch
	1.5	2.71
	1.56	2.58	Watch
	1.47	2.5
	1.51	2.67	Watch
	1.5	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.93)	2.62 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anadolu Efes Pilsen
63.6%

Virtus Bologna
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anadolu Efes Pilsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Anadolu Efes Pilsen's performance.

Virtus Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Bologna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anadolu Efes Pilsen than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Anadolu Efes Pilsen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Bologna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Virtus Bologna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - Anadolu Efes (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Anadolu Efes Pilsen will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Anadolu Efes Pilsen will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Anadolu Efes (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Dozier P.J.	35. Diouf M.
3. Loyd J.	3. Edwards C.
24. Osmani E.	34. Jallow K.
17. Poirier V.	7. Niang S.
8. Weiler-Babb N.	1. Vildoza L.
Substitutes
1. Beaubois R.	45. Akele N.
10. Cordinier I.	21. Alston Jr. D.
2. Hazer S.	31. Diarra A.
88. Jones K.	24. Ferrari F.
5. Lee S.	23. Hackett D.
21. Swider C.	30. Morgan M.
33. Yilmaz E.	9. Smailagic A.
Coaches
. Laso P.	. Ivanovic D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anadolu Efes won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Anadolu Efes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Anadolu Efes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Anadolu Efes will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Anadolu Efes won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 669:616. (average 83.6:77).

Including home matches between the teams, Anadolu Efes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 338:277. (average 84.5:69.3).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Anadolu Efes: 2.18% Virtus Bologna: 0.88%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
10	Virtus Bologna	4	2	2	343:346
15	Anadolu Efes	4	1	3	314:339

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anadolu Efes Pilsen
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
08.02.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Karşıyaka	98:81 ✺
Euroleague
06.02.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Žalgiris Kaunas	92:82 ✺
03.02.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Valencia	107:90 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
01.02.26	Merkezefendi - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	87:80 ✺
Euroleague
29.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	79:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLL
- Virtus Bologna
Italian Lega A Basketball
09.02.26	Basket Brescia - Virtus Bologna	79:87 ✺
Euroleague
06.02.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Virtus Bologna	109:77 ✺
04.02.26	Virtus Bologna - ASVEL Basket	70:80 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
01.02.26	Virtus Bologna - Basket Trento	85:87 ✺
Euroleague
30.01.26	AS Monaco Basket - Virtus Bologna	82:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
11.11.25	Virtus Bologna - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	99:89
07.03.25	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Virtus Bologna	89:68
04.10.24	Virtus Bologna - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	67:76
16.04.24	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Virtus Bologna	64:67
12.01.24	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Virtus Bologna	99:75
03.11.23	Virtus Bologna - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	93:81
30.03.23	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Virtus Bologna	86:67

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