Match Info

Euroleague - Round 24

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Segafredo Arena (Bologna)

Referee: Boubert M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague, Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Israel	5 STARS Israel, Sport 5
Italy	Sky Sport Uno
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Spain	M+ Deportes 4
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Virtus Bologna		Crvena Zvezda

	1	2
	1.77	2	Watch
	1.78	2.02	Watch
	1.8	2.06
	1.78	2.13	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.78	2.1	Watch
	1.8	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.71)	2.05 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Bologna
53.6%

Crvena Zvezda
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Crvena Zvezda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Virtus Bologna - Crvena Zvezda Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Bologna (votes: 2 - 50%). Crvena Zvezda (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 166.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5, OT - Virtus Bologna (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Bologna (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Crvena Zvezda (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:83

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Lineups


8. Accorsi M.	6. Butler J.
45. Akele N.	7. Davidovac D.
21. Alston Jr. D.	13. Dobric O.
22. Canka A.	4. Graham D.
35. Diouf M.	15. Izundu E.
3. Edwards C.	12. Kalinic N.
23. Hackett D.	0. Miller-McIntyre C.
34. Jallow K.	95. Moneke C.
30. Morgan M.	20. Motiejunas D.
7. Niang S.	33. Nwora J.
6. Pajola A.	37. Ojeleye S.
1. Vildoza L.	99. Yago
Coaches
. Ivanovic D.	. Obradovic S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 1.

In recent matches, Virtus Bologna has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Crvena Zvezda is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Crvena Zvezda has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 550:600. (average 78.6:85.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Bologna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 256:245. (average 85.3:81.7).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet: 2.54% Virtus Bologna: 0.87%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
6	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	4	2	2	311:294
9	Virtus Bologna	4	2	2	343:346

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Bologna - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 55.24%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Crvena Zvezda - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.76%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Bologna
Euroleague
21.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Fenerbahçe	80:85 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
18.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Treviso Basket	88:77 ✺
Euroleague
15.01.26	Dubai - Virtus Bologna	72:80 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
11.01.26	Venezia - Virtus Bologna	75:81 ✺
Euroleague
08.01.26	Panathinaikos - Virtus Bologna	84:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWL
- KK Crvena Zvezda
Euroleague
20.01.26	AS Monaco Basket - Crvena Zvezda	96:100 OT ✺
Adriatic League
17.01.26	KK Zadar - Crvena Zvezda	67:80 ✺
Euroleague
15.01.26	Olimpia Milano - Crvena Zvezda	96:104 ✺
Adriatic League
12.01.26	Crvena Zvezda - Bosna	97:92 ✺
Euroleague
09.01.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Crvena Zvezda	99:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
19.12.25	Crvena Zvezda - Virtus Bologna	90:89
26.03.25	Crvena Zvezda - Virtus Bologna	88:52
06.12.24	Virtus Bologna - Crvena Zvezda	87:94
22.03.24	Crvena Zvezda - Virtus Bologna	94:79
20.10.23	Virtus Bologna - Crvena Zvezda	85:79
31.01.23	Virtus Bologna - Crvena Zvezda	84:72
02.12.22	Crvena Zvezda - Virtus Bologna	83:74

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