Match Info
Lega A - Round 21Date: 7 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: PalaBarbuto (Naples)Referee: Cassina F. (Ita)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Italy | LBA TV |
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Napoli Basket |
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Virtus Bologna |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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3.05 |
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1.36 |
Watch |
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3.13 |
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1.36 |
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 |
3.04 |
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1.36 |
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3.05 |
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1.4 |
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3.02 |
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1.41 |
Watch |
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3.05 |
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1.33 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↑
(3.05) |
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1.37 ↑
(1.33) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 163.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Napoli Basket
30.9% | Virtus Bologna
69.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Virtus Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli Basket than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (-4.9%)Napoli Basket - Virtus Bologna Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli Basket (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:85 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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45.  Bolton R.
| 21. Alston Jr. D.
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1. Flagg S.
| 35.  Diouf M.
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22. Gentile S.
| 3. Edwards C.
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35. Tote L.
| 7. Niang S.
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18.  Treier K.
| 1.  Vildoza L.
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| Substitutes |
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30. Caruso G.
| 8. Accorsi M.
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5. El Amin I.
| 45. Akele N.
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10. Faggian L.
| 2. Baiocchi M.
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14. Gloria M.
| 31.  Diarra A.
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0. Whaley I.
| 24. Ferrari F.
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13.  Zemaitis K.
| 30. Morgan M.
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| 9.  Smailagic A.
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| Coaches |
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. Magro A.
| .  Ivanovic D.
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Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli Basket won 1.Napoli Basket has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Virtus Bologna has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Napoli Basket may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Virtus Bologna is seen as the favorite.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Napoli Basket won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 913:992. (average 83:90.2).Including home matches between the teams, Napoli Basket won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 424:450. (average 84.8:90).
Outrights of Italian Lega A Basketball for now
Virtus Bologna: 19.47% Basket Napoli: 3.72%
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Virtus Bologna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 188:158 | 4 |
| 2 | Basket Napoli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 193:168 | 4 |
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Form
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✺ - difficult match;
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