Match Info

EUROPE: ABA League 2 - Winners stage - Round 5

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Dom Sportova (Zagreb)

Referee: Stankovic Z. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Virtus Zagreb		Ilirija

	1	2
	1.75	1.91
			Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.61	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)	2.11 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Zagreb
56%

Ilirija
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Ilirija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Zagreb than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Virtus Zagreb - Ilirija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Brzoja M.	0. Golson V.
23. Buljan T.	15. Jockuch K.
7. Krajnovic L.	35. Kures L.
71. Sly B.	11. Mikus M.
8. Sobin J.	8. Tomazic T.
Substitutes
55. Anzulovic L.	4. Ferme T.
5. Bilic T.	3. Gabrijel B.
0. Eaddy T.	23. Nosakhare B.
4. Jelic M.	2. Padjen M.
3. Karacic I.	6. Skorjanc G.
17. Krstanovic S.	5. Strnad L.
6. Sare N.
Coaches
. Repesa D.	. Modric S.

Preview

Recent matches Cedevita Junior is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ilirija is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ilirija could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cedevita Junior won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 74:89

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Virtus Zagreb
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
16.03.25	Virtus Zagreb - Zabok	94:70 ✺
12.03.25	Alkar - Virtus Zagreb	72:70 ✺
Adriatic League 2
11.03.25	Vojvodina - Virtus Zagreb	100:75 ✺
04.03.25	Virtus Zagreb - Vojvodina	73:76 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
28.02.25	Virtus Zagreb - Dubrava	94:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLLW
- KD Ilirija
Slovenian Liga Basketball
15.03.25	Ilirija - Šenčur	78:72 ✺
Adriatic League 2
11.03.25	Široki Brijeg - Ilirija	90:86 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
08.03.25	Tajfun Šentjur - Ilirija	77:90 ✺
Adriatic League 2
04.03.25	Ilirija - Široki Brijeg	82:69 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
28.02.25	Ilirija - Škofja Loka	95:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League 2
14.01.25	Ilirija - Virtus Zagreb	89:74

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