Match Info

BULGARIA: NBL - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 27 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Diana (Yambol)


	Yambol		Shumen

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.03	1.66
	2.27	1.66
	2.28	1.63
	2.1	1.67
	2.1	1.68
	2.03	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.87)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yambol
43.9%

Shumen
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yambol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yambol's form might have worsened.

Shumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shumen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yambol than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yambol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shumen than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shumen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yambol - Shumen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:86

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yambol won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Shumen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Yambol have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Yambol won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 840-778.

Including matches at home between the teams Yambol won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 512-485.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Yambol
Bulgarian NBL
23.03.24	Yambol - Levski Sofia	79:80 ✺
Bulgarian Cup Basketball
15.03.24	Spartak Pleven - Yambol	74:65 ✺
Bulgarian NBL
09.03.24	Yambol - Botev Academic	85:77 ✺
06.03.24	Yambol - Minyor	81:68 ✺
02.03.24	Yambol - Beroe	101:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWW
- BC Shumen
Bulgarian NBL
21.03.24	Shumen - Beroe	122:74 ✺
09.03.24	Levski Sofia - Shumen	68:79 ✺
06.03.24	Botev Academic - Shumen	89:85 ✺
02.03.24	Shumen - Minyor	67:61 ✺
16.02.24	Shumen - Yambol	79:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian NBL
16.02.24	Shumen - Yambol	79:80
11.12.23	Yambol - Shumen	74:82
Club Friendly Basketball
27.09.23	Yambol - Shumen	76:79
Bulgarian NBL
05.04.23	Yambol - Shumen	80:83
21.01.23	Yambol - Shumen	91:76
19.11.22	Shumen - Yambol	68:84
06.04.22	Yambol - Shumen	93:88

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