Match Info

LITHUANIA: NKL - LOSERS STAGE

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Klaipėdos KKRC (Klaipeda)


	Neptūnas		Rytas 2

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.68	2.21
	1.67	2.1
	1.59	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)	2.16 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
56.5%

Rytas 2
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Rytas 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rytas 2 than the current prediction. (-5%)

Neptūnas - Rytas 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:84

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Neptūnas won 1.

Recent matches Neptūnas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rytas 2 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rytas 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Neptūnas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Neptūnas to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Neptūnas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 491-525.

Including matches at home between the teams Neptūnas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 232-253.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos NKL
18.01.24	Kauno Atletas - Neptūnas	77:82 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
14.01.24	Neptūnas - Gargždai	100:81 ✺
07.01.24	Neptūnas - Juventus Utena	78:91 ✺
Lietuvos NKL
06.01.24	Neptūnas - Kauno Atletas	69:68 ✺
04.01.24	Telšiai - Neptūnas	86:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLWL
- Rytas 2
Lietuvos NKL
18.01.24	Rytas 2 - Vilniaus Stekas	76:97 ✺
06.01.24	Delikatesas Joniškis - Rytas 2	103:99 ✺
04.01.24	Rytas 2 - Vytis Šakiai	70:91 ✺
23.12.23	Sūduva - Rytas 2	94:85 ✺
21.12.23	Rytas 2 - Neptūnas	95:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
21.12.23	Rytas 2 - Neptūnas	95:92
02.11.23	Neptūnas - Rytas 2	85:101
04.03.23	Neptūnas - Rytas 2	74:83
11.02.23	Rytas 2 - Neptūnas	98:77
19.11.22	Neptūnas - Rytas 2	73:69
17.11.22	Rytas 2 - Neptūnas	79:90

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