Match Info

Euroleague - Round 7

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Zalgirio Arena (Kaunas)

Referee: Silva S. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Žalgiris Kaunas		Virtus Bologna

	1	2
	1.48	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.7	Watch
	1.47	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.77	Watch
	1.42	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.35)	2.75 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris Kaunas
65.2%

Virtus Bologna
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris Kaunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Virtus Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris Kaunas than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Žalgiris Kaunas - Virtus Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Žalgiris (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Virtus Bologna (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 161.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Brazdeikis I.	21. Alston Jr. D.
3. Francisco S.	3. Edwards C.
91. Sirvydis D.	34. Jallow K.
10. Tubelis A.	6. Pajola A.
92. Ulanovas E.	9. Smailagic A.
Substitutes
15. Birutis L.	31. Diarra A.
51. Butkevicius A.	35. Diouf M.
12. Lo M.	23. Hackett D.
4. Mikalauskas K.	30. Morgan M.
17. Rubstavicius M.	7. Niang S.
14. Sleva D.	11. Taylor B.
7. Wright M.	1. Vildoza L.
Coaches
. Masiulis T.	. Ivanovic D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 5.

Žalgiris has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Virtus Bologna is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Virtus Bologna has had a series of home games.

In this match, Žalgiris is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 481:438. (average 80.2:73).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 241:214. (average 80.3:71.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Kaunas
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
26.10.25	Gargždai - Žalgiris Kaunas	73:89 ✺
Euroleague
23.10.25	Barcelona - Žalgiris Kaunas	73:88 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
19.10.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Lietkabelis	85:87 ✺
Euroleague
16.10.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Olimpia Milano	78:89 ✺
14.10.25	Crvena Zvezda - Žalgiris Kaunas	88:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLL
- Virtus Bologna
Italian Lega A Basketball
26.10.25	Virtus Bologna - Dinamo Sassari	90:71 ✺
Euroleague
24.10.25	Virtus Bologna - Panathinaikos	92:75 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
20.10.25	Virtus Bologna - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	69:86 ✺
Euroleague
17.10.25	ASVEL Basket - Virtus Bologna	83:90 ✺
15.10.25	Virtus Bologna - AS Monaco Basket	77:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
15.01.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Virtus Bologna	77:68
15.10.24	Virtus Bologna - Žalgiris Kaunas	68:71
19.03.24	Žalgiris Kaunas - Virtus Bologna	96:81
05.10.23	Virtus Bologna - Žalgiris Kaunas	79:82
10.01.23	Virtus Bologna - Žalgiris Kaunas	77:87
18.10.22	Žalgiris Kaunas - Virtus Bologna	68:65

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