Match Info

Euroleague - Round 5

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: LDLC Arena (Lyon)

Referee: Juras M. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	ASVEL Basket		Virtus Bologna

	1	2
	1.71	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.18
	1.68	2.24
	1.76	2.04	Watch
	1.72	2.2	Watch
	1.71	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 (1.71)	2.16 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ASVEL Basket
55.8%

Virtus Bologna
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASVEL Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Virtus Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASVEL Basket than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

ASVEL Basket - Virtus Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. ASVEL will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtus Bologna: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. ASVEL (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 174.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Ajinca M.	11. Taylor B.
10. Massa B.	21. Alston Jr. D.
1. Seljaas Z.	9. Smailagic A.
30. Watson G.	34. Jallow K.
11. Jackson E.	3. Edwards C.
Substitutes
2. Atamna A.	31. Diarra A.
12. De Colo N.	35. Diouf M.
23. Lighty D.	23. Hackett D.
24. Ndiaye M.	30. Morgan M.
16. Ngouama M.	7. Niang S.
94. Traore A.	6. Pajola A.
32. Vautier B.	1. Vildoza L.
Coaches
. Poupet P.	. Ivanovic D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 451:484. (average 75.2:80.7).

Including home matches between the teams, ASVEL won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 235:249. (average 78.3:83).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASVEL Basket
Euroleague
15.10.25	Panathinaikos - ASVEL Basket	91:85 ✺
French LNB
11.10.25	ASVEL Basket - Le Mans	91:66 ✺
Euroleague
09.10.25	Real Madrid - ASVEL Basket	85:72 ✺
French LNB
05.10.25	Saint-Quentin - ASVEL Basket	76:81 ✺
Euroleague
03.10.25	ASVEL Basket - Baskonia	102:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW
- Virtus Bologna
Euroleague
15.10.25	Virtus Bologna - AS Monaco Basket	77:73 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
11.10.25	Udine - Virtus Bologna	80:82 OT ✺
Euroleague
09.10.25	Paris - Virtus Bologna	90:79 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
06.10.25	Virtus Bologna - Napoli Basket	105:88 ✺
Euroleague
03.10.25	Valencia - Virtus Bologna	103:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
27.12.24	Virtus Bologna - ASVEL Basket	83:69
10.10.24	ASVEL Basket - Virtus Bologna	87:85
18.01.24	Virtus Bologna - ASVEL Basket	73:63
27.10.23	ASVEL Basket - Virtus Bologna	84:87
03.02.23	ASVEL Basket - Virtus Bologna	64:77
04.11.22	Virtus Bologna - ASVEL Basket	79:84

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