Match Info

CFL

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Commonwealth Stadium (Edmonton, AB)


	Edmonton Elks		Ottawa RedBlacks

	1	2
	1.36	3.3	Watch
	1.36	3.25
	1.34	3.25	Watch
	1.33	3.58
	1.32	3.15	Watch
	1.36	3.3
	1.32	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.38)	3.3 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edmonton Elks
71.1%

Ottawa RedBlacks
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edmonton Elks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Ottawa RedBlacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edmonton Elks than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Edmonton Elks that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa RedBlacks than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ottawa RedBlacks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Edmonton Elks - Ottawa RedBlacks Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Edmonton will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ottawa will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:26

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 3.

In recent matches, Edmonton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ottawa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Ottawa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Edmonton is considered a favorite.

We predict that Edmonton will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 483:480. (average 24.2:24).

Including home matches between the teams, Edmonton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 243:225. (average 27:25).

Outrights of CFL for now

Edmonton Elks: 20.69%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edmonton Elks
CFL
04.07.26	BC Lions - Edmonton Elks	36:24 ✺
25.06.26	Winnipeg Blue Bombers - Edmonton Elks	18:23 ✺
20.06.26	Edmonton Elks - Montreal Alouettes	32:29 OT ✺
06.06.26	Ottawa RedBlacks - Edmonton Elks	21:29 ✺
29.05.26	Edmonton Elks - Calgary Stampeders	18:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWWL
- Ottawa RedBlacks
CFL
03.07.26	Ottawa RedBlacks - Saskatchewan Roughriders	22:27 ✺
28.06.26	Montreal Alouettes - Ottawa RedBlacks	37:35 ✺
20.06.26	Ottawa RedBlacks - Toronto Argonauts	24:44 ✺
06.06.26	Ottawa RedBlacks - Edmonton Elks	21:29 ✺
29.05.26	Ottawa RedBlacks - Montreal Alouettes	27:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

CFL
06.06.26	Ottawa RedBlacks - Edmonton Elks	21:29
22.08.25	Ottawa RedBlacks - Edmonton Elks	20:30
06.07.25	Edmonton Elks - Ottawa RedBlacks	39:33
19.07.24	Ottawa RedBlacks - Edmonton Elks	20:14
14.07.24	Edmonton Elks - Ottawa RedBlacks	34:37
27.08.23	Edmonton Elks - Ottawa RedBlacks	30:20
30.06.23	Ottawa RedBlacks - Edmonton Elks	26:7

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