Match Info
CFLDate: 4 September 2026, FridayLocation: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium (Montreal, QC)
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 |
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 |
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Montreal Alouettes |
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BC Lions |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.46 |
|
2.6 |
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 |
1.48 |
|
2.65 |
|
 |
1.49 |
|
2.75 |
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 |
1.44 |
|
2.62 |
 Watch |
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1.54 |
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2.55 |
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 |
1.51 |
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2.46 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.34) |
|
2.61 ↓
(3.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 61.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Montreal Alouettes
63.7% | BC Lions
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montreal Alouettes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montreal Alouettes's form might have worsened.BC Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BC Lions's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Alouettes than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for BC Lions than the current prediction. (-4.5%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:28 
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Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 0.Montreal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Lions is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).Montreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Montreal will hold a modest advantage in this match.We predict that Montreal will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 398:558. (average 19.9:27.9).Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 252:280. (average 22.9:25.5).
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Outrights of CFL for now
Montreal Alouettes: 29.58% BC Lions: 11.44%
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| CFL | | | 16.08.25 | BC Lions - Montreal Alouettes | 36:18 | | 05.07.25 | Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions | 20:21 | | 19.10.24 | BC Lions - Montreal Alouettes | 27:3 | | 06.09.24 | Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions | 23:37 | | 02.09.23 | Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions | 25:34 | | 09.07.23 | BC Lions - Montreal Alouettes | 35:19 | | 09.09.22 | Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions | 31:10 |
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