Match Info
CFLDate: 19 September 2025, FridayLocation: BMO Field (Toronto, ON)
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Toronto Argonauts |
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Montreal Alouettes |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Toronto Argonauts 29.5% | Montreal Alouettes 70.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Argonauts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto Argonauts's form might have worsened.Montreal Alouettes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montreal Alouettes's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Argonauts than the current prediction. (+32.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Argonauts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Alouettes than the current prediction. (-32.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montreal Alouettes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors. bannerPredictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:29 
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Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.Toronto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Montreal is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Montreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Montreal is the team to beat.We predict that Toronto will win today's game, with odds of 3.33.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 534:532. (average 26.7:26.6).Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 297:268. (average 29.7:26.8).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| CFL | | | 17.07.25 | Montreal Alouettes - Toronto Argonauts | 26:25 | | 06.06.25 | Montreal Alouettes - Toronto Argonauts | 28:10 | | 09.11.24 | Montreal Alouettes - Toronto Argonauts | 28:30 | | 28.09.24 | Toronto Argonauts - Montreal Alouettes | 37:31 | | 11.07.24 | Montreal Alouettes - Toronto Argonauts | 18:37 | | 28.06.24 | Toronto Argonauts - Montreal Alouettes | 20:30 | | 25.05.24 | Montreal Alouettes - Toronto Argonauts | 30:13 |
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