The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Argonauts 41.2%
Montreal Alouettes 58.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.3%
47.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.1%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Argonauts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto Argonauts's form might have worsened.
Montreal Alouettes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montreal Alouettes's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Argonauts than the current prediction. (+19.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Argonauts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Alouettes than the current prediction. (-19.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montreal Alouettes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
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Toronto Argonauts - Montreal Alouettes Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5, OT - Montreal (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - TOR Argonauts (2.35) (votes: 78%) ⭐ Best Value.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:28
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Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - CFL Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 1st in the Promotion - CFL Playoffs - Semi - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Toronto could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Montreal holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for Montreal in today's match, at odds of 1.63.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Toronto has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 516:542 (averaging 25.8:27.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Toronto against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 249:241 goals (averaging 27.7:26.8 per game).
Outrights of CFL for now
Montreal Alouettes: 32.09% Toronto Argonauts: 13.35%
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