Match Info
The AshesDate: 3 January 2026, SaturdayLocation: Sydney Cricket Ground (Sydney)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox Sports Cricket |
 Sweden | Discovery+ |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
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Australia |
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England |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.45 |
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2.7 |
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1.44 |
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2.7 |
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 Watch |
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1.42 |
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2.62 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.5) |
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2.67 ↑
(2.46) |
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- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Australia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)England has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%) 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Australia won 4.Australia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins). Australia might have a minor edge in this game.We predict that Australia will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Australia won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 5207:5271. (average 260.4:263.6).
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Outrights of The Ashes for now
Australia: 79.23% England: 20.77%
Last Results with these Odds
Australia - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.12%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| The Ashes | | | 25.12.25 | Australia - England | 152:110 | | 16.12.25 | Australia - England | 371:286 | | 03.12.25 | Australia - England | 511:334 | | 20.11.25 | Australia - England | 132:172 | | ICC Champions Trophy | | | 22.02.25 | Australia - England | 356:351 | | One Day International | | | 29.09.24 | England - Australia | 309:165 | | 27.09.24 | England - Australia | 312:126 |
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