Match Info

WORLD: One Day International

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Bristol County Ground (Bristol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Sports Cricket
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event


	England		Australia

	1	2
	2.1	1.73
	2	1.73
	2	1.76	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.12	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.38)	1.74 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 583.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: Willow TV

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Current Win Probability

England
46%

Australia
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

England has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in England's performance.

Australia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Australia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for England than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with England that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Australia than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Australia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Salt P.	. Head T.
. Duckett B.	. Short M.
. Jacks W.	. Smith S.
. Brook H.	. Inglis J.
. Smith J.	. Labuschagne M.
. Livingstone L.	. Maxwell G.
. Bethell J.	. Hardie A.
. Carse B.	. Connolly C.
. Potts M.	. Starc M.
. Stone O.	. Zampa A.
. Rashid A.	. Hazlewood J.
Coaches
. McCullum B.	. McDonald A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches England won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches England won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 4524-4616.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- England cricket
One Day International
27.09.24	England - Australia	312:126 ✺
24.09.24	England - Australia	254:304 ✺
21.09.24	England - Australia	202:270 ✺
19.09.24	England - Australia	315:317 ✺
Twenty20 International
15.09.24	England - Australia	Abandoned ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLL?
- Australia cricket
One Day International
27.09.24	England - Australia	312:126 ✺
24.09.24	England - Australia	254:304 ✺
21.09.24	England - Australia	202:270 ✺
19.09.24	England - Australia	315:317 ✺
Twenty20 International
15.09.24	England - Australia	Abandoned ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWW?

Latest Head to Head

One Day International
27.09.24	England - Australia	312:126
24.09.24	England - Australia	254:304
21.09.24	England - Australia	202:270
19.09.24	England - Australia	315:317
Twenty20 International
15.09.24	England - Australia	Abandoned
13.09.24	England - Australia	194:193
11.09.24	England - Australia	151:179

England - Australia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide