Essex - Middlesex: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Vitality Blast
  • Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday
  • Location: County Cricket Ground (Chelmsford)
  • Essex Middlesex
    Essex Middlesex
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 1.49 2.45
    betsson 1.52 2.55
    GGBet 1.6 2.22 Watch and Bet Watch
    Williamhill 1.45 2.35
    BetNow 1.52 2.57
    Bovada 1.47 2.65
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.55)

    2.47
    (2.35)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 355.50

    • The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Essex
    62%
    Middlesex
    38%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    60.2% 39.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    57.7% 42.3%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Essex has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Middlesex has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essex than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesex than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
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    Preview

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essex won 3.
  • In recent matches, Essex has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Middlesex has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Essex may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Essex could have a small edge in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Essex won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3882:3336. (average 194.1:166.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Essex won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2038:1844. (average 185.3:167.6).
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    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Essex Eagles
    Vitality Blast
    03.07.26 Sussex - Essex 104:204
    01.07.26 Essex - Surrey 233:240
    26.06.26 Northamptonshire - Essex 238:108
    County Championship One Cricket
    19.06.26 Essex - Nottinghamshire 184:457
    12.06.26 Leicestershire - Essex 187:401
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2
    WLLLW
    - Middlesex County Cricket Club
    Vitality Blast
    28.06.26 Middlesex - Durham 118:218
    26.06.26 Glamorgan - Middlesex 159:153
    County Championship Two Cricket
    19.06.26 Kent - Middlesex 673:624
    12.06.26 Worcestershire - Middlesex 265:339
    Vitality Blast
    07.06.26 Middlesex - Essex 116:176
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2
    LLLWL
    Latest Head to Head
    Vitality Blast
    07.06.26 Middlesex - Essex 116:176
    19.06.25 Middlesex - Essex 161:160
    08.06.25 Essex - Middlesex 156:159
    13.06.24 Middlesex - Essex 63:129
    02.06.24 Essex - Middlesex 207:203
    County Championship One Cricket
    04.09.23 Essex - Middlesex 304:179
    Royal London One-Day Cup
    11.08.23 Essex - Middlesex 298:295
    Upcoming Matches
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Essex Eagles
    County Championship One Cricket
    27.08.26 Essex - Surrey
    - Middlesex County Cricket Club
    County Championship Two Cricket
    27.08.26 Derbyshire - Middlesex