Match Info

ASIA: T20 WORLD CUP - QUALIFICATION

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Hong Kong		United Arab Emirates

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.87	1.41
	3	1.4
	2.8	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.33)	1.41 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hong Kong
33%

United Arab Emirates
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hong Kong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hong Kong's form might have worsened.

United Arab Emirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting United Arab Emirates's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hong Kong than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hong Kong, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United Arab Emirates than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for United Arab Emirates, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hong Kong won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Hong Kong could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match UAE is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hong Kong won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1364-1119.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hong Kong cricket
T20 World Cup
30.10.23	Bahrain - Hong Kong	146:126 ✺
30.10.23	Hong Kong - Kuwait	166:150 ✺
T20 Tri-Series Nepal
25.10.23	Hong Kong - United Arab Emirates	212:143 ✺
22.10.23	Hong Kong - United Arab Emirates	149:153 ✺
21.10.23	Nepal - Hong Kong	213:134 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLL
- United Arab Emirates cricket
T20 World Cup
31.10.23	Kuwait - United Arab Emirates	88:94 ✺
29.10.23	Bahrain - United Arab Emirates	135:137 ✺
T20 Tri-Series Nepal
27.10.23	Nepal - United Arab Emirates	162:167 ✺
25.10.23	Hong Kong - United Arab Emirates	212:143 ✺
23.10.23	Nepal - United Arab Emirates	165:164 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

T20 Tri-Series Nepal
25.10.23	Hong Kong - United Arab Emirates	212:143
22.10.23	Hong Kong - United Arab Emirates	149:153
Asia Cup T20
24.08.22	Hong Kong - United Arab Emirates	149:147
T20 World Cup
21.10.19	United Arab Emirates - Hong Kong	118:116
Asia Cup T20
05.09.18	Hong Kong - United Arab Emirates	179:176
31.08.18	United Arab Emirates - Hong Kong	93:275
21.02.16	Hong Kong - United Arab Emirates	146:147

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