Match Info

Vitality Blast - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Edgbaston Cricket Ground (Birmingham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Sports Cricket


	Lancashire		Somerset

	1	2
	2.38	1.57
	2.2	1.6
	1.96	1.77	Watch
			Watch
	2.35	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.1)	1.64 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 360.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lancashire
42.4%

Somerset
57.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lancashire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Somerset has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancashire than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somerset than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lancashire won 1.

Recent form of Lancashire has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Somerset has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lancashire may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Somerset could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lancashire won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 5872:6678. (average 391.5:445.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lancashire won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2576:3223. (average 429.3:537.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Somerset - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.83%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lancashire County Cricket Club
County Championship Two Cricket
08.09.25	Kent - Lancashire	293:284 ✺
Vitality Blast
06.09.25	Lancashire - Kent	156:153 ✺
Royal London One-Day Cup
26.08.25	Lancashire - Middlesex	291:292 ✺
22.08.25	Lancashire - Warwickshire	249:253 ✺
20.08.25	Lancashire - Durham	320:321 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Somerset County Cricket Club
County Championship One Cricket
08.09.25	Somerset - Yorkshire	441:134 ✺
Vitality Blast
06.09.25	Somerset - Warwickshire	191:190 ✺
Royal London One-Day Cup
31.08.25	Worcestershire - Somerset	275:141 ✺
28.08.25	Somerset - Gloucestershire	149:155 ✺
26.08.25	Somerset - Northamptonshire	240:238 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Royal London One-Day Cup
10.08.25	Somerset - Lancashire	250:254
County Championship One Cricket
17.09.24	Lancashire - Somerset	140:146
Royal London One-Day Cup
02.08.24	Somerset - Lancashire	220:218
County Championship One Cricket
11.05.23	Lancashire - Somerset	326:759
20.04.23	Somerset - Lancashire	697:554
11.07.22	Lancashire - Somerset	624:659
12.09.21	Somerset - Lancashire	404:405

Lancashire - Somerset: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

Latest Head to Head

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