Match Info

Big Bash League

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Melbourne Renegades		Perth Scorchers

	1	2
	2.5	1.54	Watch
	2.5	1.52
	3.57	1.27	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.42	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.29)	1.47 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Renegades
35.3%

Perth Scorchers
64.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Renegades has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Renegades's form might have worsened.

Perth Scorchers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Perth Scorchers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Renegades than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Renegades, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Scorchers than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perth Scorchers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Melbourne Renegades - Perth Scorchers Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Renegades will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Renegades (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renegades won 3.

In recent matches, Renegades has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Scorchers is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Scorchers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Scorchers will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Renegades will win today's game, with odds of 2.53.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Renegades won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 2896:2986. (average 144.8:149.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Renegades won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1498:1539. (average 136.2:139.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Renegades
Australian Big Bash T20
12.01.26	Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Renegades	140:170 ✺
10.01.26	Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars	166:170 ✺
07.01.26	Perth Scorchers - Melbourne Renegades	127:130 ✺
04.01.26	Melbourne Stars - Melbourne Renegades	173:177 ✺
01.01.26	Melbourne Renegades - Sydney Sixers	164:168 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWL
- Perth Scorchers
Australian Big Bash T20
11.01.26	Adelaide Strikers - Perth Scorchers	200:232 ✺
07.01.26	Perth Scorchers - Melbourne Renegades	127:130 ✺
04.01.26	Perth Scorchers - Adelaide Strikers	153:120 ✺
01.01.26	Hobart Hurricanes - Perth Scorchers	189:229 ✺
30.12.25	Sydney Thunder - Perth Scorchers	131:202 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Big Bash T20
07.01.26	Perth Scorchers - Melbourne Renegades	127:130
07.01.25	Perth Scorchers - Melbourne Renegades	147:150
23.12.24	Melbourne Renegades - Perth Scorchers	144:143
Australian Top End Series
13.08.24	Melbourne Renegades - Perth Scorchers	153:167
Australian Big Bash T20
26.12.23	Perth Scorchers - Melbourne Renegades	162:149
10.12.23	Melbourne Renegades - Perth Scorchers	Abandoned
22.01.23	Perth Scorchers - Melbourne Renegades	212:202

Melbourne Renegades - Perth Scorchers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide