Match Info
Big Bash LeagueDate: 12 January 2026, MondayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | SuperSport Cricket |
 Australia | Fox Sports Cricket, Kayo Sports |
 India | Disney+ Hotstar |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Cricket |
 North-central-america | SportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean |
 South-africa | SuperSport Cricket |
 United-kingdom | Sky Go |
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Sydney Thunder |
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Melbourne Renegades |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 335.50
- The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sydney Thunder
43.9% | Melbourne Renegades
56.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Sydney Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Melbourne Renegades has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Thunder than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Renegades than the current prediction. (-0.6%) 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thunder won 4.Thunder has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).Renegades has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Thunder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Renegades is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Thunder won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2544:2476. (average 141.3:137.6).Including home matches between the teams, Thunder won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1410:1345. (average 141:134.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian Big Bash T20 | | | 30.12.24 | Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Renegades | 156:148 | | 17.01.24 | Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Renegades | Abandoned | | 19.01.23 | Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Renegades | 144:142 | | 18.12.22 | Melbourne Renegades - Sydney Thunder | 175:174 | | 19.01.22 | Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Renegades | 170:169 | | 08.01.22 | Melbourne Renegades - Sydney Thunder | 80:209 | | 01.01.21 | Melbourne Renegades - Sydney Thunder | 166:117 |
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