Match Info

Big Bash League

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Cricket
Australia	Fox Sports Cricket, Kayo Sports
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Nigeria	SuperSport Cricket
North-central-america	SportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
South-africa	SuperSport Cricket
United-kingdom	Sky Go


	Melbourne Stars		Adelaide Strikers

	1	2
	1.65	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.09	6.51	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.69)	3.11 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 328.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Melbourne Stars
67.2%

Adelaide Strikers
32.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Stars's performance.

Adelaide Strikers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adelaide Strikers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Stars than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne Stars that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Strikers than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide Strikers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Melbourne Stars - Adelaide Strikers Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Stars will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stars (votes: 1 - 100%).

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stars won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Stars may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Stars will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stars won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 3067:2994. (average 153.4:149.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Stars won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1148:991. (average 143.5:123.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Stars
Australian Big Bash T20
10.01.26	Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars	166:170 ✺
08.01.26	Melbourne Stars - Sydney Sixers	128:129 ✺
04.01.26	Melbourne Stars - Melbourne Renegades	173:177 ✺
02.01.26	Brisbane Heat - Melbourne Stars	199:195 ✺
28.12.25	Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder	132:128 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW
- Adelaide Strikers
Australian Big Bash T20
11.01.26	Adelaide Strikers - Perth Scorchers	200:232 ✺
09.01.26	Hobart Hurricanes - Adelaide Strikers	178:141 ✺
06.01.26	Adelaide Strikers - Sydney Thunder	165:159 ✺
04.01.26	Perth Scorchers - Adelaide Strikers	153:120 ✺
31.12.25	Adelaide Strikers - Brisbane Heat	125:121 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Big Bash T20
23.12.25	Adelaide Strikers - Melbourne Stars	155:161
20.12.24	Adelaide Strikers - Melbourne Stars	165:150
Australian Top End Series
12.08.24	Melbourne Stars - Adelaide Strikers	139:138
Australian Big Bash T20
31.12.23	Adelaide Strikers - Melbourne Stars	205:211
12.01.23	Melbourne Stars - Adelaide Strikers	109:108
31.12.22	Adelaide Strikers - Melbourne Stars	178:186
14.01.22	Adelaide Strikers - Melbourne Stars	155:132

Melbourne Stars - Adelaide Strikers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide