Match Info

WORLD: ICC WORLD CUP

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Sports Cricket


	New Zealand		Afghanistan

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.25	3.5
	1.3	3.2
	1.3	3.74
	1.3	3.5
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.27	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)	3.46 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 498.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Zealand
72.9%

Afghanistan
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Zealand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Zealand's performance.

Afghanistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Afghanistan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New Zealand that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afghanistan than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Afghanistan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

New Zealand - Afghanistan Predictions

Users Predictions: New Zealand will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

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Preview

New Zealand in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Afghanistan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Afghanistan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match New Zealand is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches New Zealand won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 486-482.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Zealand cricket
ICC World Cup
13.10.23	New Zealand - Bangladesh	248:245 ✺
09.10.23	New Zealand - Netherlands	322:223 ✺
05.10.23	England - New Zealand	282:283 ✺
02.10.23	New Zealand - South Africa	321:211 ✺
29.09.23	New Zealand - Pakistan	346:345 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWW
- Afghanistan cricket
ICC World Cup
15.10.23	Afghanistan - England	284:215 ✺
11.10.23	India - Afghanistan	273:272 ✺
Asian Games Cricket
07.10.23	India - Afghanistan	Abandoned ✺
ICC World Cup
07.10.23	Bangladesh - Afghanistan	158:156 ✺
Asian Games Cricket
06.10.23	Pakistan - Afghanistan	115:116 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WL?LW

Latest Head to Head

T20 World Cup
26.10.22	New Zealand - Afghanistan	Abandoned
07.11.21	New Zealand - Afghanistan	125:124
ICC World Cup
08.06.19	Afghanistan - New Zealand	172:173
07.03.15	New Zealand - Afghanistan	188:186

New Zealand - Afghanistan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide