Match Info

The Ford Trophy

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Ford Trophy 🌤️ ...


	Northern Brave		Auckland Aces

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.45	1.48	Watch
	2.14	1.72	Watch
	2	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.03)	1.66 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northern Brave
43.6%

Auckland Aces
56.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Brave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Auckland Aces has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northern Brave than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northern Brave, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland Aces than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Auckland Aces, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Northern Brave - Auckland Aces Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Northern Brave will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Northern Brave (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northern Brave won 3.

Northern Brave has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Auckland Aces is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Auckland Aces has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Northern Brave will win today's game, with odds of 2.03.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Northern Brave won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 4148:3855. (average 207.4:192.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Northern Brave won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1648:1622. (average 164.8:162.2).

Standings

		Pts	W	L	D	N/R		Pts
2	Auckland Aces	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	Northern Brave	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Northern Brave - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 46.11%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Brave
Ford Trophy
09.02.26	Northern Brave - Central Stags	309:240 ✺
06.02.26	Canterbury Kings - Northern Brave	162:158 ✺
03.02.26	Otago Volts - Northern Brave	148:149 ✺
Super Smash
30.01.26	Northern Brave - Canterbury Kings	173:171 ✺
24.01.26	Canterbury Kings - Northern Brave	Abandoned ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWW?
- Auckland Aces
Ford Trophy
09.02.26	Auckland Aces - Wellington Firebirds	240:243 ✺
06.02.26	Central Stags - Auckland Aces	164:163 ✺
03.02.26	Auckland Aces - Canterbury Kings	124:384 ✺
Super Smash
29.01.26	Auckland Aces - Canterbury Kings	106:108 ✺
25.01.26	Auckland Aces - Central Stags	219:210 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Super Smash
21.01.26	Auckland Aces - Northern Brave	110:217
25.12.25	Northern Brave - Auckland Aces	Abandoned
Plunket Shield
25.11.25	Northern Brave - Auckland Aces	152:307
Ford Trophy
24.10.25	Auckland Aces - Northern Brave	169:168
Plunket Shield
12.03.25	Auckland Aces - Northern Brave	329:455
Ford Trophy
13.02.25	Auckland Aces - Northern Brave	230:159
Super Smash
12.01.25	Auckland Aces - Northern Brave	187:193

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