Match Info

Plunket Shield

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Plunket Shield 🌤️ ...


	Northern Brave		Central Stags

	1	2
	1.78	2
	1.75	1.95
	1.74	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)	2.02 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northern Brave
53.4%

Central Stags
46.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Brave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Central Stags has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northern Brave than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Stags than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northern Brave won 3.

Northern Brave has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Central Stags is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Northern Brave will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Northern Brave won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 4334:4745. (average 216.7:237.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Northern Brave won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2534:2653. (average 230.4:241.2).

Standings

2024/25

		Pts	W	L	D	N/R		Pts
1	Northern Brave	8	5	0	3	0	4315:3966	109
4	Central Stags	8	3	3	2	0	3575:3822	79

Last Results with these Odds

Northern Brave - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 54.69%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Brave
Plunket Shield
17.03.26	Otago Volts - Northern Brave	258:339 ✺
08.03.26	Central Stags - Northern Brave	373:82 ✺
Ford Trophy
17.02.26	Wellington Firebirds - Northern Brave	281:163 ✺
12.02.26	Northern Brave - Auckland Aces	Abandoned ✺
09.02.26	Northern Brave - Central Stags	309:240 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLL?W
- Central Stags
Plunket Shield
17.03.26	Canterbury Kings - Central Stags	334:221 ✺
08.03.26	Central Stags - Northern Brave	373:82 ✺
Ford Trophy
21.02.26	Canterbury Kings - Central Stags	302:303 ✺
19.02.26	Central Stags - Wellington Firebirds	349:138 ✺
16.02.26	Central Stags - Canterbury Kings	276:254 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Plunket Shield
08.03.26	Central Stags - Northern Brave	373:82
Ford Trophy
09.02.26	Northern Brave - Central Stags	309:240
Super Smash
19.01.26	Northern Brave - Central Stags	Abandoned
12.01.26	Central Stags - Northern Brave	146:120
Ford Trophy
29.10.25	Central Stags - Northern Brave	156:271
09.02.25	Northern Brave - Central Stags	210:212
Super Smash
20.01.25	Northern Brave - Central Stags	Abandoned

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Brave
Ford Trophy
27.10.26	Central Stags - Northern Brave
- Central Stags
Ford Trophy
27.10.26	Central Stags - Northern Brave

Northern Brave - Central Stags: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide