Match Info

WORLD: ICC Champions Trophy - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: ICC Champions Trophy 🌤️ ...

Referee: Reiffel PR (Aus)


	South Africa		New Zealand

	1	2
	1.73	2.1
	1.72	2
	1.71	2.07	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.81	2.03	Watch
	1.72	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.77)	2.03 (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 608.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Africa
53.8%

New Zealand
46.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Africa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

New Zealand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Africa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

South Africa - New Zealand Predictions

Users Predictions: South Africa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Bavuma T. (C)	. Young W.
. Rickelton R.	. Ravindra R.
. van der Dussen R.	. Williamson K.
. Markram A.	. Mitchell D.
. Klaasen H.	. Latham T.
. Miller D.	. Phillips G.
. Mulder W.	. Bracewell M.
. Jansen M.	. Santner M. (C)
. Maharaj K.	. Henry M.
. Rabada K.	. Jamieson K.
. Ngidi L.	. O'Rourke W.
Coaches
. Walter R.	. Stead G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches South Africa won 1.

Recent matches South Africa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

New Zealand is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

New Zealand could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches South Africa won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 6645:6148 (average 332.3:307.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Africa cricket
ICC Champions Trophy
01.03.25	England - South Africa	179:181 ✺
25.02.25	Australia - South Africa	Abandoned ✺
21.02.25	Afghanistan - South Africa	208:315 ✺
Tri-Nation Series Cricket
12.02.25	Pakistan - South Africa	355:352 ✺
09.02.25	New Zealand - South Africa	308:304 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 W?WLL
- New Zealand cricket
ICC Champions Trophy
02.03.25	New Zealand - India	205:249 ✺
24.02.25	Bangladesh - New Zealand	236:240 ✺
19.02.25	Pakistan - New Zealand	260:320 ✺
Tri-Nation Series Cricket
14.02.25	Pakistan - New Zealand	242:243 ✺
09.02.25	New Zealand - South Africa	308:304 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Tri-Nation Series Cricket
09.02.25	New Zealand - South Africa	308:304
Test Series
12.02.24	New Zealand - South Africa	480:477
03.02.24	New Zealand - South Africa	690:409
ICC World Cup
01.11.23	New Zealand - South Africa	167:357
02.10.23	New Zealand - South Africa	321:211
T20 World Cup
17.10.22	New Zealand - South Africa	98:100
Test Series
24.02.22	New Zealand - South Africa	520:718

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