Match Info

WORLD: One Day International

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday

Location: R. Premadasa Stadium (Colombo)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	TNT Sports 3


	Sri Lanka		Australia

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.5
			Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.61	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.57)	1.53 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 503.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sri Lanka
38.3%

Australia
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sri Lanka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Australia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sri Lanka than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Australia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Nissanka P.	. Short M.
. Madushka N.	. Head T.
. Mendis Kusal	. Fraser-McGurk J.
. Mendis K.	. Smith S.
. Asalanka C.	. Inglis J.
. Liyanage J.	. Hardie A.
. Wellalage D.	. Maxwell G.
. Hasaranga W.	. Abbott S.
. Theekshana M.	. Dwarshuis B.
. Malinga E.	. Zampa A.
. Fernando A.	. Sangha T.
Coaches
. Jayasuriya S.	. McDonald A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sri Lanka won 1.

Recent matches Sri Lanka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Australia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Australia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sri Lanka won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 4719:4877 (average 236:243.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sri Lanka cricket
One Day International
11.02.25	Sri Lanka - Australia	214:165 ✺
Test Series
05.02.25	Sri Lanka - Australia	488:489 ✺
28.01.25	Sri Lanka - Australia	412:654 ✺
One Day International
10.01.25	New Zealand - Sri Lanka	150:290 ✺
07.01.25	New Zealand - Sri Lanka	255:142 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLWL
- Australia cricket
One Day International
11.02.25	Sri Lanka - Australia	214:165 ✺
Test Series
05.02.25	Sri Lanka - Australia	488:489 ✺
28.01.25	Sri Lanka - Australia	412:654 ✺
02.01.25	Australia - India	343:342 ✺
25.12.24	Australia - India	708:524 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

One Day International
11.02.25	Sri Lanka - Australia	214:165
Test Series
05.02.25	Sri Lanka - Australia	488:489
28.01.25	Sri Lanka - Australia	412:654
ICC World Cup
16.10.23	Australia - Sri Lanka	215:209
T20 World Cup
25.10.22	Australia - Sri Lanka	158:157
Test Series
08.07.22	Sri Lanka - Australia	554:515
29.06.22	Sri Lanka - Australia	325:331

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