Match Info

T20 World Cup - First stage

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Lemar
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video
India	JioStar, JioTV app
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Sri Lanka		Zimbabwe

	1	2
	1.27	3.5	Watch
	1.24	3.4
	1.24	3.84	Watch
	1.27	3.6
	1.33	3.48	Watch
	1.32	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.36)	3.5 ↑ (3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sri Lanka
73.3%

Zimbabwe
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sri Lanka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Zimbabwe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sri Lanka than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sri Lanka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zimbabwe than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zimbabwe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sri Lanka - Zimbabwe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sri Lanka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sri Lanka will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sri Lanka won 3.

Sri Lanka is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Zimbabwe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sri Lanka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sri Lanka is a strong favorite.

We predict that Sri Lanka will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sri Lanka won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4198:4202. (average 209.9:210.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sri Lanka cricket
T20 World Cup
16.02.26	Australia - Sri Lanka	181:184 ✺
12.02.26	Sri Lanka - Oman	225:120 ✺
08.02.26	Sri Lanka - Ireland	163:143 ✺
Twenty20 International
03.02.26	Sri Lanka - England	116:128 ✺
01.02.26	Sri Lanka - England	189:173 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWLW
- Zimbabwe cricket
T20 World Cup
17.02.26	Ireland - Zimbabwe	Abandoned ✺
13.02.26	Australia - Zimbabwe	146:169 ✺
09.02.26	Oman - Zimbabwe	103:106 ✺
05.02.26	Oman - Zimbabwe	188:187 ✺
03.02.26	Netherlands - Zimbabwe	149:178 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

T20 Tri Series Pakistan
25.11.25	Sri Lanka - Zimbabwe	148:146
20.11.25	Sri Lanka - Zimbabwe	95:162
Twenty20 International
07.09.25	Zimbabwe - Sri Lanka	191:193
06.09.25	Zimbabwe - Sri Lanka	84:80
03.09.25	Zimbabwe - Sri Lanka	175:177
One Day International
31.08.25	Zimbabwe - Sri Lanka	277:278
29.08.25	Zimbabwe - Sri Lanka	291:298

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