Match Info

Vitality Blast

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: The Oval (London)


	Surrey		Lancashire

	1	2
	1.46	2.63
	1.5	2.35
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.54	2.52
	1.57	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)	2.42 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 342.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Surrey
61.4%

Lancashire
38.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.3%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Surrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Lancashire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surrey than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancashire than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Surrey - Lancashire Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Surrey will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Lancashire will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Surrey won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lancashire may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Surrey is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Surrey won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6525:5735. (average 435:382.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Surrey won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3269:2562. (average 467:366).

Last Results with these Odds

Lancashire - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 40.66%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Surrey County Cricket Club
County Championship One Cricket
08.05.26	Nottinghamshire - Surrey	Match drawn ✺
01.05.26	Surrey - Sussex	622:358 ✺
24.04.26	Surrey - Essex	Match drawn. ✺
10.04.26	Surrey - Leicestershire	520:691 ✺
03.04.26	Warwickshire - Surrey	544:328 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 ?W?LL
- Lancashire County Cricket Club
County Championship Two Cricket
15.05.26	Lancashire - Worcestershire	281:270 ✺
08.05.26	Lancashire - Middlesex	285:286 ✺
24.04.26	Durham - Lancashire	631:630 ✺
17.04.26	Gloucestershire - Lancashire	136:240 ✺
10.04.26	Lancashire - Derbyshire	351:374 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

County Championship One Cricket
22.08.24	Surrey - Lancashire	444:204
05.04.24	Lancashire - Surrey	202:15
Royal London One-Day Cup
17.08.23	Surrey - Lancashire	153:157
Vitality Blast
07.07.23	Lancashire - Surrey	174:187
County Championship One Cricket
25.06.23	Surrey - Lancashire	360:274
06.04.23	Lancashire - Surrey	538:734
26.09.22	Lancashire - Surrey	512:382

Surrey - Lancashire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide