Match Info

Vitality Blast

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: The Oval (London)


	Surrey		Essex

	1	2
	1.5	2.57
	1.48	2.7
	1.46	2.57	Watch
	1.38	2.5
	1.54	2.51	Watch
	1.5	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)	2.57 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 348.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Surrey
63.5%

Essex
36.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Surrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Essex has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surrey than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essex than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Surrey - Essex Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Surrey will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Surrey won 3.

Surrey is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Essex has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Surrey has had a series of away games.

Surrey might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Surrey will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Surrey won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 4794:5741. (average 239.7:287.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Surrey won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1893:1921. (average 210.3:213.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Surrey - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.69%, but this team recently wins 91% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Surrey County Cricket Club
Vitality Blast
10.07.26	Kent - Surrey	102:106 ✺
08.07.26	Surrey - Sussex	177:176 ✺
04.07.26	Gloucestershire - Surrey	191:134 ✺
01.07.26	Essex - Surrey	233:240 ✺
26.06.26	Sussex - Surrey	171:175 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW
- Essex Eagles
Vitality Blast
10.07.26	Essex - Hampshire	134:130 ✺
05.07.26	Essex - Middlesex	142:143 ✺
03.07.26	Sussex - Essex	104:204 ✺
01.07.26	Essex - Surrey	233:240 ✺
26.06.26	Northamptonshire - Essex	238:108 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Vitality Blast
01.07.26	Essex - Surrey	233:240
County Championship One Cricket
24.04.26	Surrey - Essex	Match drawn.
Royal London One-Day Cup
15.08.25	Essex - Surrey	417:173
Vitality Blast
06.07.25	Surrey - Essex	141:145
County Championship One Cricket
23.05.25	Surrey - Essex	279:217
04.04.25	Essex - Surrey	582:365
26.09.24	Essex - Surrey	508:267

Surrey - Essex: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide