Match Info

European Tour 9 - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Incheba Expo-Arena (Bratislava)


	Andrew Gilding		Ross Smith

	1	2
	2.30	1.62	Watch
	2.20	1.67
	2.12	1.68	Watch
	2.20	1.67
	2.13	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.12)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrew Gilding
43.1%

Ross Smith
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrew Gilding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ross Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrew Gilding than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Andrew Gilding - Ross Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Gilding is ranked World Ranking: 26. Smith is ranked World Ranking: 14.

Gilding is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Smith is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Smith will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gilding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:28. (average 2.5:7).

Last Results with these Odds

Andrew Gilding - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.21%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Ross Smith - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.79%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrew Gilding
Darts
21.06.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Andrew Gilding	4:6 ✺
20.06.26	Luke Woodhouse - Andrew Gilding	4:6 ✺
19.06.26	Andrew Gilding - Mervyn King	6:4 ✺
03.06.26	Andrew Gilding - Adam Warner	6:3 ✺
30.05.26	Luke Woodhouse - Andrew Gilding	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWL
- Ross Smith
Darts
21.06.26	Chris Dobey - Ross Smith	4:6 ✺
20.06.26	Ross Smith - Joe Cullen	6:5 ✺
17.06.26	Ross Smith - Samuel Price	6:1 ✺
03.06.26	William OConnor - Ross Smith	5:8 ✺
03.06.26	Ross Smith - Cor Dekker	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
06.03.26	Ross Smith - Andrew Gilding	10:4
06.09.25	Ross Smith - Andrew Gilding	6:4
23.11.24	Andrew Gilding - Ross Smith	1:10
04.10.22	Ross Smith - Andrew Gilding	2:1 best of 5 sets

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