Match Info

European Tour 3 - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Oktoberhallen (Wieze)


	Chris Dobey		Dave Chisnall

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.31	2.95
	1.31	3.03	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.32	3.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)	3.07 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chris Dobey
69.8%

Dave Chisnall
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chris Dobey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Dave Chisnall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Dobey than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dave Chisnall than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Chris Dobey - Dave Chisnall Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Dobey is ranked World Ranking: 13. Chisnall is ranked World Ranking: 23.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dobey won 2.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Dobey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dobey is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Dobey won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:26. (average 5.7:4.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chris Dobey
Darts
15.03.26	Josh Rock - Chris Dobey	6:5 ✺
14.03.26	Chris Dobey - Luke Woodhouse	6:1 ✺
06.03.26	Chris Dobey - James Wade	9:10 ✺
22.02.26	Chris Dobey - Michael Smith	6:2 ✺
22.02.26	Luke Woodhouse - Chris Dobey	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWW
- Dave Chisnall
Darts
20.03.26	Dave Chisnall - Thibault Tricole	6:2 ✺
14.03.26	Ross Smith - Dave Chisnall	6:4 ✺
13.03.26	Dave Chisnall - Jeffrey de Zwaan	6:5 ✺
07.03.26	Luke Humphries - Dave Chisnall	10:4 ✺
06.03.26	Dave Chisnall - Scott Campbell	10:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
25.11.23	Dave Chisnall - Chris Dobey	6:4
26.10.23	Dave Chisnall - Chris Dobey	2:6
30.10.22	Chris Dobey - Dave Chisnall	10:7 best of 19 legs
24.11.18	Dave Chisnall - Chris Dobey	3:6 best of 11 legs
27.12.16	Dave Chisnall - Chris Dobey	4:2 best of 7 sets
28.03.16	Dave Chisnall - Chris Dobey	4:6 best of 11 legs

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