Match Info

European Tour 11 - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: MVM Dome (Budapest)


	Ross Smith		Dave Chisnall

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.47	2.6
	1.45	2.64	Watch
	1.46	2.55
	1.44	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 (1.45)	2.63 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ross Smith
64.5%

Dave Chisnall
35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ross Smith have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Dave Chisnall have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dave Chisnall than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Ross Smith - Dave Chisnall Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Smith is ranked World Ranking: 17. Chisnall is ranked World Ranking: 29.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smith won 5.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chisnall may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Smith might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Smith won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 43:26. (average 5.4:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ross Smith - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.55%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ross Smith
Darts
30.08.26	Jonny Clayton - Ross Smith	4:6 ✺
29.08.26	Ross Smith - William OConnor	6:2 ✺
21.08.26	Ross Smith - Brody Klinge	5:6 ✺
14.08.26	Ross Smith - Adam Leek	5:6 ✺
24.07.26	Ross Smith - Gerwyn Price	12:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLL
- Dave Chisnall
Darts
30.08.26	Keane Barry - Dave Chisnall	2:6 ✺
29.08.26	Wessel Nijman - Dave Chisnall	2:6 ✺
28.08.26	Dave Chisnall - Andras Borbely	6:3 ✺
26.08.26	Dave Chisnall - James Hurrell	4:6 ✺
19.07.26	Wessel Nijman - Dave Chisnall	10:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
14.03.26	Ross Smith - Dave Chisnall	6:4
13.09.25	Dave Chisnall - Ross Smith	4:6
03.05.25	Dave Chisnall - Ross Smith	3:6
21.04.25	Dave Chisnall - Ross Smith	2:6
23.03.25	Dave Chisnall - Ross Smith	4:6
10.11.24	Dave Chisnall - Ross Smith	2:5
15.05.22	Ross Smith - Dave Chisnall	6:4 best of 11 legs

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