Match Info

European Tour 15 - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: MECC Maastricht (Maastricht) 🌤️ ...


	Luke Woodhouse		Danny Noppert

	1	2
	1.67	2.20	Watch
	1.71	2.08
	1.74	2.02	Watch
	1.62	2.20
	1.70	2.07
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)	2.13 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Woodhouse
55.9%

Danny Noppert
44.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Woodhouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Danny Noppert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Woodhouse than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danny Noppert than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Luke Woodhouse - Danny Noppert Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Danny Noppert (2.10) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Woodhouse is ranked World Ranking: 18., and Noppert is ranked World Ranking: 8..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Woodhouse has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:22 (averaging 4.3:5.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Danny Noppert - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.28%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Woodhouse
Darts
18.10.26	William OConnor - Luke Woodhouse	4:6 ✺
17.10.26	Luke Woodhouse - Andrew Gilding	6:1 ✺
10.10.26	Luke Woodhouse - Robert Cross	4:6 ✺
30.09.26	Luke Woodhouse - Nathan Aspinall	0:3 ✺
28.09.26	Luke Littler - Luke Woodhouse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLLW
- Danny Noppert
Darts
18.10.26	Danny Noppert - Jermaine Wattimena	6:3 ✺
17.10.26	Danny Noppert - Dave Chisnall	6:4 ✺
10.10.26	Danny Noppert - Damon Heta	3:6 ✺
30.09.26	Danny Noppert - Ryan Joyce	0:3 ✺
28.09.26	Danny Noppert - Niko Springer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
06.09.26	Luke Woodhouse - Danny Noppert	5:6
21.03.26	Danny Noppert - Luke Woodhouse	6:3
18.10.25	Danny Noppert - Luke Woodhouse	6:3
13.06.23	Luke Woodhouse - Danny Noppert	6:4

Luke Woodhouse - Danny Noppert