Match Info

European Tour 12 - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: PVA Expo (Prague)


	Luke Woodhouse		Danny Noppert

	1	2
	1.67	2.20	Watch
	1.72	2.06
	1.68	2.12	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.68	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.76)	2.12 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Woodhouse
55.7%

Danny Noppert
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Woodhouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Danny Noppert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Woodhouse than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luke Woodhouse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danny Noppert than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Danny Noppert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Luke Woodhouse - Danny Noppert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Woodhouse is ranked World Ranking: 18. Noppert is ranked World Ranking: 11.

Woodhouse has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Noppert is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Woodhouse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Woodhouse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 4:5.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Woodhouse
Darts
05.09.26	Stephen Bunting - Luke Woodhouse	4:6 ✺
04.09.26	Luke Woodhouse - Connor Scuut	6:4 ✺
29.08.26	Luke Woodhouse - Robert Cross	5:6 ✺
25.08.26	Luke Woodhouse - Dirk van Duijvenbode	6:5 ✺
18.07.26	Josh Rock - Luke Woodhouse	10:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWL
- Danny Noppert
Darts
05.09.26	Danny Noppert - Kevin Doets	6:1 ✺
30.08.26	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Danny Noppert	5:6 ✺
30.08.26	Danny Noppert - Ryan Searle	6:4 ✺
29.08.26	Danny Noppert - Ritchie Edhouse	6:4 ✺
20.07.26	Danny Noppert - Robert Cross	3:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
21.03.26	Danny Noppert - Luke Woodhouse	6:3
18.10.25	Danny Noppert - Luke Woodhouse	6:3
13.06.23	Luke Woodhouse - Danny Noppert	6:4

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