Match Info

EUROPE: European Tour 1 - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Oktoberhallen (Wieze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Damon Heta		Michael Smith

	1	2
	1.8	2
	1.85	1.85
	1.84	1.97
	1.84	1.85	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.83	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.87)	1.92 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damon Heta
50.9%

Michael Smith
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damon Heta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damon Heta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Damon Heta - Michael Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Heta is ranked World Ranking: 7. Smith is ranked World Ranking: 17.

Recent matches Heta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Smith is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Smith could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21:22 (average 4.2:4.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damon Heta
Darts
01.03.25	Damon Heta - Gian Van Veen	9:10 ✺
01.03.25	Connor Scuut - Damon Heta	7:10 ✺
28.02.25	Damon Heta - Kim Huybrechts	10:2 ✺
10.02.25	Damon Heta - Gabriel Clemens	6:3 ✺
02.02.25	Luke Humphries - Damon Heta	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWL
- Michael Smith
Darts
07.03.25	Michael Smith - Ryan Joyce	6:5 ✺
02.03.25	Jonny Clayton - Michael Smith	10:8 ✺
01.03.25	Michael Smith - Dimitri van den Bergh	10:3 ✺
01.03.25	Madars Razma - Michael Smith	7:10 ✺
28.02.25	Kevin Doets - Michael Smith	6:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
05.08.23	Michael Smith - Damon Heta	6:5
19.08.22	Michael Smith - Damon Heta	6:5 best of 11 legs
19.06.22	Michael Smith - Damon Heta	3:4 best of 7 legs
29.05.22	Damon Heta - Michael Smith	3:6 best of 11 legs
11.12.20	Michael Smith - Damon Heta	1:4 best of 7 legs

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