Match Info

European Tour 7 - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Autotron (Rosmalen)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Michael Smith		Ryan Joyce

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.66	2.02
	1.68	2.19
	1.62	2.14	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.71	2.06	Watch
	1.66	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.71)	2.07 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Smith
55%

Ryan Joyce
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ryan Joyce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Joyce than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Michael Smith - Ryan Joyce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Smith is ranked World Ranking: 20. Joyce is ranked World Ranking: 26.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Smith won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:12. (average 4:6).

Last Results with these Odds

Ryan Joyce - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.57%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Smith
Darts
04.05.25	Luke Woodhouse - Michael Smith	6:5 ✺
04.05.25	Luke Humphries - Michael Smith	5:6 ✺
03.05.25	Michael Smith - Daniel Klose	6:5 ✺
20.04.25	Michael Smith - Krzysztof Ratajski	4:6 ✺
04.04.25	Michael Smith - Thibault Tricole	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLL
- Ryan Joyce
Darts
23.05.25	Ryan Joyce - Jeffrey de Zwaan	6:5 ✺
02.05.25	Ryan Joyce - Leon Weber	3:6 ✺
27.04.25	Ross Smith - Ryan Joyce	7:4 ✺
27.04.25	Damon Heta - Ryan Joyce	1:6 ✺
27.04.25	Dave Chisnall - Ryan Joyce	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
07.03.25	Michael Smith - Ryan Joyce	6:5
22.06.20	Ryan Joyce - Michael Smith	7:2 best of 12 legs

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