Match Info

European Tour 4 - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Zenith (Munich)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV3 Sport
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Sport 1
Hungary	Net4+


	Dave Chisnall		Dirk van Duijvenbode

	1	2
	2.75	1.44
	2.25	1.57
	2.45	1.44
	2.56	1.51
	2.39	1.5	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.5	1.5
	2.45	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.2)	1.5 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dave Chisnall
38%

Dirk van Duijvenbode
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dave Chisnall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Dirk van Duijvenbode has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dave Chisnall than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dirk van Duijvenbode than the current prediction. (+3%)

Dave Chisnall - Dirk van Duijvenbode Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Chisnall is ranked World Ranking: 10. van Duijvenbode is ranked World Ranking: 31.

Recent matches Chisnall is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

van Duijvenbode is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chisnall could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

van Duijvenbode will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's van Duijvenbode to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chisnall won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:12 (average 6.5:6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dave Chisnall
Darts
09.04.25	Dave Chisnall - Michael Mansell	5:6 ✺
06.04.25	Dave Chisnall - Peter Wright	1:6 ✺
05.04.25	Dave Chisnall - Luke Woodhouse	6:2 ✺
23.03.25	Dave Chisnall - Ross Smith	4:6 ✺
22.03.25	Dave Chisnall - Ricky Evans	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW
- Dirk van Duijvenbode
Darts
19.04.25	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Andy Boulton	6:1 ✺
08.04.25	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Kim Huybrechts	6:3 ✺
05.04.25	Luke Humphries - Dirk van Duijvenbode	6:1 ✺
04.04.25	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Niko Springer	6:3 ✺
31.03.25	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Gabriel Clemens	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
19.03.24	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Dave Chisnall	6:8
29.05.22	Dave Chisnall - Dirk van Duijvenbode	5:6 best of 11 legs

Dave Chisnall - Dirk van Duijvenbode: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide