Match Info

European Tour 13 - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: St. Jakobshalle (Basel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Net4+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Dave Chisnall		Luke Woodhouse

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.84
	3.16	1.28	Watch
	1.84	1.9
	1.95	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.83)	1.75 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dave Chisnall
45.1%

Luke Woodhouse
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dave Chisnall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dave Chisnall's form might have worsened.

Luke Woodhouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luke Woodhouse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dave Chisnall than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Woodhouse than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Dave Chisnall - Luke Woodhouse Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Woodhouse (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

#ad

Preview

Chisnall is ranked World Ranking: 16. Woodhouse is ranked World Ranking: 31.

Recent form of Chisnall has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Woodhouse has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chisnall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chisnall won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 5.2:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dave Chisnall
Darts
20.09.25	Dave Chisnall - Raymond Van Barneveld	1:6 ✺
13.09.25	Dave Chisnall - Ross Smith	4:6 ✺
13.09.25	Nathan Aspinall - Dave Chisnall	2:6 ✺
06.09.25	Dave Chisnall - Ryan Searle	4:6 ✺
30.08.25	Dave Chisnall - Leon Weber	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWLL
- Luke Woodhouse
Darts
26.09.25	Luke Woodhouse - Lukas Wenig	6:5 ✺
20.09.25	James Wade - Luke Woodhouse	6:3 ✺
19.09.25	Luke Woodhouse - Andras Borbely	6:4 ✺
13.09.25	Chris Dobey - Luke Woodhouse	6:2 ✺
05.09.25	Luke Woodhouse - William OConnor	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
05.04.25	Dave Chisnall - Luke Woodhouse	6:2
22.06.24	Dave Chisnall - Luke Woodhouse	6:5
25.11.23	Dave Chisnall - Luke Woodhouse	8:10
03.10.23	Dave Chisnall - Luke Woodhouse	0:2 best of 5 sets
09.09.23	Dave Chisnall - Luke Woodhouse	6:1

Upcoming Matches