Match Info

Players Championship Finals - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Butlin's Minehead Resort (Minehead)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
World	PDC TV


	Dave Chisnall		Ryan Joyce

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.07	1.62	Watch
	2.02	1.67	Watch
	2.07	1.69
	2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.02)	1.68 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dave Chisnall
44.7%

Ryan Joyce
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dave Chisnall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Ryan Joyce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dave Chisnall than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Joyce than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Dave Chisnall - Ryan Joyce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Chisnall is ranked World Ranking: 17. Joyce is ranked World Ranking: 22.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Joyce will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chisnall won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 4:5).

Last Results with these Odds

Dave Chisnall - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.26%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dave Chisnall
Darts
29.10.25	Dave Chisnall - Jeffrey de Graaf	4:6 ✺
23.10.25	Martin Schindler - Dave Chisnall	6:5 ✺
19.10.25	Krzysztof Ratajski - Dave Chisnall	6:5 ✺
19.10.25	Ricky Evans - Dave Chisnall	2:6 ✺
18.10.25	Dave Chisnall - Gabriel Clemens	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWW
- Ryan Joyce
Darts
29.10.25	Ryan Joyce - Scott Williams	6:1 ✺
26.10.25	Ryan Joyce - Gian Van Veen	5:10 ✺
25.10.25	Martin Schindler - Ryan Joyce	7:10 ✺
23.10.25	Ryan Joyce - Luke Woodhouse	6:3 ✺
19.10.25	Ryan Joyce - Krzysztof Ratajski	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
27.04.25	Dave Chisnall - Ryan Joyce	3:6
09.03.24	Dave Chisnall - Ryan Joyce	5:6
01.07.23	Dave Chisnall - Ryan Joyce	3:6
09.10.20	Ryan Joyce - Dave Chisnall	2:3 best of 5 sets
13.10.18	Dave Chisnall - Ryan Joyce	6:5 best of 11 legs

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