Match Info

European Tour 14 - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Halle 39 (Hildesheim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sport 1
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Dave Chisnall		Gabriel Clemens

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.70	2.01	Watch
	1.8	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.7)	2.03 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dave Chisnall
53.8%

Gabriel Clemens
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dave Chisnall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Gabriel Clemens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dave Chisnall than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Clemens than the current prediction. (+1%)

Dave Chisnall - Gabriel Clemens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Chisnall is ranked World Ranking: 17. Clemens is ranked World Ranking: 40.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chisnall won 3.

Both players are currently in poor form.

Chisnall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chisnall won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 4.5:3.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Dave Chisnall - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.18%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dave Chisnall
Darts
30.09.25	Dave Chisnall - Michele Turetta	5:6 ✺
27.09.25	Dave Chisnall - Luke Woodhouse	2:6 ✺
20.09.25	Dave Chisnall - Raymond Van Barneveld	1:6 ✺
13.09.25	Dave Chisnall - Ross Smith	4:6 ✺
13.09.25	Nathan Aspinall - Dave Chisnall	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLLW
- Gabriel Clemens
Darts
17.10.25	Gabriel Clemens - Tomislav Rosnadic	6:2 ✺
14.10.25	Gabriel Clemens - Karel Sedlacek	1:6 ✺
12.09.25	Mike De Decker - Gabriel Clemens	6:3 ✺
09.09.25	Gabriel Clemens - Brett Claydon	3:6 ✺
25.08.25	Gabriel Clemens - Tavis Dudeney	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
08.09.24	Dave Chisnall - Gabriel Clemens	6:2
21.04.24	Dave Chisnall - Gabriel Clemens	3:6
27.12.23	Dave Chisnall - Gabriel Clemens	4:1 best of 5 sets
14.10.23	Dave Chisnall - Gabriel Clemens	2:6
06.05.22	Dave Chisnall - Gabriel Clemens	6:3 best of 11 legs
12.03.22	Gabriel Clemens - Dave Chisnall	5:6 best of 11 legs

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