Match Info

PDC World Championship - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Alexandra Palace (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Darts


	Ryan Joyce		Krzysztof Ratajski

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.92	1.86
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.95	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.92)	1.87 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Joyce
49.4%

Krzysztof Ratajski
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Joyce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Krzysztof Ratajski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Joyce than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krzysztof Ratajski than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Ryan Joyce - Krzysztof Ratajski Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Joyce will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Ratajski will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Joyce: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ryan Joyce will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

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Preview

Joyce is ranked World Ranking: 24. Ratajski is ranked World Ranking: 37.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Joyce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 2.7:3.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Joyce
Darts
18.12.25	Ryan Joyce - Owen Bates	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Jermaine Wattimena - Ryan Joyce	6:2 ✺
21.11.25	Dave Chisnall - Ryan Joyce	4:6 ✺
29.10.25	Ryan Joyce - Scott Williams	6:1 ✺
26.10.25	Ryan Joyce - Gian Van Veen	5:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWL
- Krzysztof Ratajski
Darts
18.12.25	Krzysztof Ratajski - Alexis Toylo	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Krzysztof Ratajski - Josh Rock	8:10 ✺
22.11.25	Gian Van Veen - Krzysztof Ratajski	5:6 ✺
21.11.25	Krzysztof Ratajski - Raymond Van Barneveld	6:3 ✺
24.10.25	Luke Humphries - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
19.10.25	Ryan Joyce - Krzysztof Ratajski	2:6
21.12.20	Krzysztof Ratajski - Ryan Joyce	3:0 best of 5 sets
22.06.18	Ryan Joyce - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:2 best of 11 legs

Ryan Joyce - Krzysztof Ratajski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide