Match Info

European Tour 11 - Semi-finals

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: MVM Dome (Budapest)


	Gary Anderson		Nathan Aspinall

	1	2
	1.8	2
	1.74	2.06
	1.68	2.12
	1.73	2.04
	1.69	2.08
	1.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.72)	2.03 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 11.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gary Anderson
54%

Nathan Aspinall
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gary Anderson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Nathan Aspinall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gary Anderson than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+1%)

Gary Anderson - Nathan Aspinall Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:5

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Preview

Anderson is ranked World Ranking: 10. Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 15.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderson won 1.

Now, both players are in good form.

Aspinall may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Anderson won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 46:53. (average 5.8:6.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Nathan Aspinall - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.52%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gary Anderson
Darts
30.08.26	Gian Van Veen - Gary Anderson	5:6 ✺
30.08.26	Stephen Bunting - Gary Anderson	5:6 ✺
29.08.26	Gary Anderson - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:2 ✺
23.07.26	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Gary Anderson	16:13 ✺
21.07.26	Jonny Clayton - Gary Anderson	7:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLW
- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
30.08.26	Nathan Aspinall - Chris Dobey	6:5 ✺
30.08.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall	4:6 ✺
29.08.26	Nathan Aspinall - Ryan Joyce	6:4 ✺
25.08.26	Nathan Aspinall - Thibault Tricole	6:1 ✺
21.07.26	Luke Littler - Nathan Aspinall	11:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
21.07.21	Gary Anderson - Nathan Aspinall	9:11 best of 21 legs
26.05.21	Gary Anderson - Nathan Aspinall	7:7 best of 14 legs
22.04.21	Nathan Aspinall - Gary Anderson	7:2 best of 12 legs
30.08.20	Nathan Aspinall - Gary Anderson	6:8 best of 14 legs
05.06.20	Nathan Aspinall - Gary Anderson	6:5 best of 11 legs
12.03.20	Gary Anderson - Nathan Aspinall	6:6 best of 12 legs
27.12.19	Gary Anderson - Nathan Aspinall	2:4 best of 5 sets

Gary Anderson - Nathan Aspinall: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide