Match Info

European Championship - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Westfalenhalle (Dortmund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 2
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	ITV 4
World	PDC TV


	Gian Van Veen		Damon Heta

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.43	2.66
	1.41	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)	2.77 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gian Van Veen
66%

Damon Heta
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gian Van Veen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Damon Heta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gian Van Veen than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gian Van Veen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damon Heta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gian Van Veen - Damon Heta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Van Veen is ranked World Ranking: 15. Heta is ranked World Ranking: 12.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Veen won 2.

Van Veen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Heta is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Heta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Van Veen is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Van Veen will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Van Veen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:32. (average 6.3:5.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gian Van Veen
Darts
19.10.25	Gian Van Veen - Danny Noppert	6:3 ✺
19.10.25	Jonny Clayton - Gian Van Veen	1:6 ✺
18.10.25	Gian Van Veen - Niels Zonneveld	6:4 ✺
14.10.25	Gian Van Veen - James Hurrell	5:6 ✺
07.10.25	Luke Littler - Gian Van Veen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLL
- Damon Heta
Darts
18.10.25	Damon Heta - Steve Lennon	5:6 ✺
07.10.25	Damon Heta - Luke Woodhouse	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Damon Heta - Raymond Van Barneveld	5:6 ✺
20.09.25	Damon Heta - Niko Springer	1:6 ✺
13.09.25	Mike De Decker - Damon Heta	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
01.03.25	Damon Heta - Gian Van Veen	9:10
11.05.24	Damon Heta - Gian Van Veen	6:4
02.03.24	Damon Heta - Gian Van Veen	10:8
27.10.23	Damon Heta - Gian Van Veen	1:6
24.09.23	Damon Heta - Gian Van Veen	6:4
01.07.23	Damon Heta - Gian Van Veen	0:6

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