Match Info

Date: 17 November 2020, Tuesday


	Glen Durrant		Damon Heta

	1	2
	2.37	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.38	1.58	Watch
	2.23	1.58
	2.28	1.64
	2.38	1.53
	2.47	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.26)	1.59 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glen Durrant
40.5%

Damon Heta
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glen Durrant has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Damon Heta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glen Durrant than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Glen Durrant - Damon Heta Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Durrant will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Heta will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heta: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Preview

Durrant is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Heta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Durrant could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Heta will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Heta to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Durrant won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glen Durrant
Darts
16.11.20	Glen Durrant - Jermaine Wattimena	1:5 best of 9 legs ✺
18.10.20	Maik Kuivenhoven - Glen Durrant	6:3 best of 11 legs ✺
17.10.20	Glen Durrant - Nico Kurz	6:3 best of 11 legs ✺
15.10.20	Glen Durrant - Gary Anderson	10:9 best of 19 legs ✺
07.10.20	Dave Chisnall - Glen Durrant	2:0 best of 5 sets ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Damon Heta
Darts
16.11.20	James Wade - Damon Heta	5:2 best of 9 legs ✺
08.11.20	Jonny Clayton - Damon Heta	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
07.11.20	Damon Heta - Krzysztof Kciuk	4:1 best of 7 legs ✺
20.10.20	Damon Heta - Luke Humphries	2:5 best of 9 legs ✺
20.10.20	Ross Smith - Damon Heta	1:5 best of 9 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
21.12.19	Glen Durrant - Damon Heta	3:0 best of 5 sets

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