Match Info

European Championship - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Westfalenhalle (Dortmund) 🌤️ ...


	James Wade		Damon Heta

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.56	2.38
	1.54	2.39	Watch
	1.47	2.5
	1.54	2.35
	1.52	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.6)	2.41 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Wade
61.3%

Damon Heta
38.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Wade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Damon Heta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Wade than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James Wade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damon Heta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

James Wade - Damon Heta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Wade is ranked World Ranking: 6., and Heta is ranked World Ranking: 21..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wade won 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Wade could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Wade holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Wade has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 42:37 (averaging 6:5.3 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Damon Heta - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.41%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Wade
Darts
10.10.26	James Wade - Dirk van Duijvenbode	5:6 ✺
03.10.26	Luke Humphries - James Wade	5:3 ✺
02.10.26	Gian Van Veen - James Wade	0:3 ✺
01.10.26	James Wade - Stephen Bunting	3:1 ✺
29.09.26	James Wade - Joe Cullen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWW
- Damon Heta
Darts
18.10.26	Damon Heta - Stephen Bunting	3:6 ✺
18.10.26	Damon Heta - Martin Schindler	6:4 ✺
17.10.26	Jonny Clayton - Damon Heta	1:6 ✺
16.10.26	Damon Heta - Maikel Verberk	6:4 ✺
11.10.26	Damon Heta - Cristo Reyes	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
18.09.26	James Wade - Damon Heta	6:5
13.09.26	James Wade - Damon Heta	7:4
03.10.21	James Wade - Damon Heta	2:1 best of 5 sets
22.11.20	Damon Heta - James Wade	13:16 best of 31 legs
16.11.20	James Wade - Damon Heta	5:2 best of 9 legs
16.08.19	James Wade - Damon Heta	1:6 best of 11 legs
09.08.19	James Wade - Damon Heta	5:6 best of 11 legs

James Wade - Damon Heta