Match Info

Date: 21 April 2022, Thursday


	James Wade		Michael Smith

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.8	1.98
	1.8	1.95
	1.82	1.93
	1.8	2
	1.82	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.8)	1.98 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Wade
52.2%

Michael Smith
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Wade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Michael Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Wade than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James Wade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	0%	47.1%

James Wade - Michael Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Wade will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Smith will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wade: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:5

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wade won 3.

Wade in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Smith is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Smith could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Wade won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 68-56.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Wade
Darts
14.04.22	Gerwyn Price - James Wade	2:6 best of 11 legs ✺
14.04.22	Gary Anderson - James Wade	2:6 best of 11 legs ✺
07.04.22	James Wade - Gerwyn Price	6:5 best of 11 legs ✺
01.04.22	James Wade - Jamie Hughes	6:5 best of 11 legs
31.03.22	James Wade - Joe Cullen	6:2 best of 11 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWWWW
- Michael Smith
Darts
18.04.22	Michael Smith - Luke Humphries	3:6 best of 11 legs ✺
17.04.22	Michael Smith - Berry Van Peer	6:4 best of 11 legs ✺
14.04.22	Joe Cullen - Michael Smith	6:2 best of 11 legs ✺
07.04.22	Michael Smith - Peter Wright	2:6 best of 11 legs ✺
31.03.22	Jonny Clayton - Michael Smith	6:1 best of 11 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
17.03.22	Michael Smith - James Wade	6:1 best of 11 legs
02.01.22	Michael Smith - James Wade	6:3 best of 5 sets
20.10.19	Michael Smith - James Wade	10:8 best of 19 legs
09.05.19	Michael Smith - James Wade	7:7 best of 14 legs
28.03.19	James Wade - Michael Smith	7:4 best of 12 legs
02.04.18	Michael Smith - James Wade	1:6 best of 11 legs
25.03.18	Michael Smith - James Wade	4:6 best of 11 legs

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