Match Info

Date: 14 April 2022, Thursday


	Joe Cullen		Michael Smith

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.87	1.9
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.82
	1.92	1.93
	1.91	1.91
	1.97	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.84)	1.86 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joe Cullen
48.9%

Michael Smith
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joe Cullen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Michael Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joe Cullen than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joe Cullen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Joe Cullen - Michael Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: Michael Smith will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cullen won 2.

Recent matches Cullen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Smith is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cullen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cullen won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 51-59.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joe Cullen
Darts
07.04.22	Joe Cullen - Jonny Clayton	1:6 best of 11 legs ✺
31.03.22	James Wade - Joe Cullen	6:2 best of 11 legs ✺
31.03.22	Joe Cullen - Gerwyn Price	6:3 best of 11 legs ✺
24.03.22	Gary Anderson - Joe Cullen	5:6 best of 11 legs ✺
17.03.22	Joe Cullen - Peter Wright	4:6 best of 11 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWL
- Michael Smith
Darts
07.04.22	Michael Smith - Peter Wright	2:6 best of 11 legs ✺
31.03.22	Jonny Clayton - Michael Smith	6:1 best of 11 legs ✺
24.03.22	Michael Van Gerwen - Michael Smith	6:5 best of 11 legs ✺
17.03.22	Michael Smith - James Wade	6:1 best of 11 legs ✺
13.03.22	Dimitri van den Bergh - Michael Smith	6:3 best of 11 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
03.03.22	Michael Smith - Joe Cullen	6:5 best of 11 legs
18.11.21	Michael Smith - Joe Cullen	10:5 best of 19 legs
05.03.21	Joe Cullen - Michael Smith	9:10 best of 19 legs
25.10.20	Joe Cullen - Michael Smith	7:3 best of 13 legs
26.10.18	Joe Cullen - Michael Smith	10:4 best of 19 legs
22.04.18	Joe Cullen - Michael Smith	6:2 best of 11 legs
10.09.17	Michael Smith - Joe Cullen	6:1 best of 11 legs

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