Match Info

European Tour 12 - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: PVA Expo (Prague)


	Michael Van Gerwen		Wessel Nijman

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.66
	2.12	1.68	Watch
	2.25	1.61
	2.27	1.59
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.06)	1.64 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
42.6%

Wessel Nijman
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Wessel Nijman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Van Gerwen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wessel Nijman than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wessel Nijman, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Michael Van Gerwen - Wessel Nijman Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 7. Nijman is ranked World Ranking: 13.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Van Gerwen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Nijman will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:18. (average 5:4.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Van Gerwen - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.58%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
05.09.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Mario Vandenbogaerde	6:4 ✺
30.08.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall	4:6 ✺
29.08.26	Michael Van Gerwen - James Hurrell	6:4 ✺
26.08.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Ted Evetts	6:1 ✺
21.07.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode	12:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL
- Wessel Nijman
Darts
05.09.26	Wessel Nijman - Martin Schindler	6:5 ✺
29.08.26	Wessel Nijman - Dave Chisnall	2:6 ✺
25.08.26	Wessel Nijman - Bradley Brooks	6:1 ✺
22.07.26	Gian Van Veen - Wessel Nijman	14:12 ✺
19.07.26	Wessel Nijman - Dave Chisnall	10:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
19.04.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Wessel Nijman	2:6
23.10.25	Wessel Nijman - Michael Van Gerwen	5:6
12.09.25	Wessel Nijman - Michael Van Gerwen	5:6
11.05.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Wessel Nijman	6:2

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