Match Info

WORLD: PREMIER LEAGUE - NIGHT 9 - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 30 March 2023, Thursday

Location: Mercedes-Benz Arena (Berlin)


	Dimitri van den Bergh		Michael Smith

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.38	1.58
	2.38	1.57
	2.39	1.59
	2.38	1.57
	2.36	1.59	Watch
	2.34	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.51)	1.58 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dimitri van den Bergh
39.9%

Michael Smith
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dimitri van den Bergh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dimitri van den Bergh than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dimitri van den Bergh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michael Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Dimitri van den Bergh - Michael Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: Michael Smith will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches van den Bergh won 3.

Two players are playing changeable.

Smith could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Smith will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Smith to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 9 head-to-head matches van den Bergh won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 39-38.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dimitri van den Bergh
Darts
26.03.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Dimitri van den Bergh	6:2 ✺
25.03.23	Dimitri van den Bergh - James Wade	6:2 ✺
23.03.23	Nathan Aspinall - Dimitri van den Bergh	6:5 ✺
20.03.23	Dimitri van den Bergh - Graham Usher	6:3 ✺
16.03.23	Dimitri van den Bergh - Nathan Aspinall	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW
- Michael Smith
Darts
26.03.23	Michael Smith - Gerwyn Price	2:6 ✺
25.03.23	Michael Smith - Rene Eidams	6:3 ✺
23.03.23	Michael Smith - Chris Dobey	4:6 ✺
16.03.23	Chris Dobey - Michael Smith	6:4 ✺
09.03.23	Nathan Aspinall - Michael Smith	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
09.03.23	Michael Smith - Dimitri van den Bergh	6:3
13.01.23	Michael Smith - Dimitri van den Bergh	6:4
11.06.22	Michael Smith - Dimitri van den Bergh	4:11 best of 21 legs
13.03.22	Dimitri van den Bergh - Michael Smith	6:3 best of 11 legs
06.10.20	Michael Smith - Dimitri van den Bergh	0:2 best of 5 sets
22.04.18	Michael Smith - Dimitri van den Bergh	6:2 best of 11 legs
03.11.17	Michael Smith - Dimitri van den Bergh	1:6 best of 11 legs

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