Match Info

UK Open - Second stage - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Butlin's Minehead Resort (Minehead)


	Jonny Clayton		Gerwyn Price

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.5
	2.27	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.35	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.15)	1.53 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonny Clayton
39.4%

Gerwyn Price
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonny Clayton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Gerwyn Price has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonny Clayton than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jonny Clayton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerwyn Price than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gerwyn Price, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Jonny Clayton - Gerwyn Price Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Price will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Price (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 8:10

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Preview

Clayton is ranked World Ranking: 5. Price is ranked World Ranking: 9.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Clayton won 1.

Clayton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Price is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Price may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Price will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Clayton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 103:135. (average 5.2:6.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Gerwyn Price - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.41%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonny Clayton
Darts
07.03.26	Darryl Pilgrim - Jonny Clayton	7:10 ✺
06.03.26	Jonny Clayton - Alexander Merkx	10:2 ✺
05.03.26	Luke Humphries - Jonny Clayton	4:6 ✺
05.03.26	Gian Van Veen - Jonny Clayton	4:6 ✺
26.02.26	Jonny Clayton - Stephen Bunting	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL
- Gerwyn Price
Darts
07.03.26	Gerwyn Price - Keane Barry	10:9 ✺
07.03.26	Wessel Nijman - Gerwyn Price	5:10 ✺
06.03.26	Greg Ritchie - Gerwyn Price	3:10 ✺
05.03.26	Gerwyn Price - Stephen Bunting	6:5 ✺
26.02.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Gerwyn Price	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
19.02.26	Jonny Clayton - Gerwyn Price	6:3
12.02.26	Jonny Clayton - Gerwyn Price	5:6
31.01.26	Jonny Clayton - Gerwyn Price	3:4
07.09.25	Gerwyn Price - Jonny Clayton	6:4
29.12.24	Jonny Clayton - Gerwyn Price	2:4
25.05.23	Gerwyn Price - Jonny Clayton	10:2
27.04.23	Gerwyn Price - Jonny Clayton	6:2

Jonny Clayton - Gerwyn Price: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide