Match Info

Premier League - Night 10 - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Brighton Centre (Brighton)


	Luke Humphries		Jonny Clayton

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.43	2.53
	1.5	2.6
	1.45	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)	2.64 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Humphries
64.6%

Jonny Clayton
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Humphries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Jonny Clayton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonny Clayton than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Luke Humphries - Jonny Clayton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 2. Clayton is ranked World Ranking: 5.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 3.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Humphries may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Humphries will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 52:50. (average 6.5:6.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Luke Humphries - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.95%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Humphries
Darts
02.04.26	Gerwyn Price - Luke Humphries	6:2 ✺
26.03.26	Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen	3:6 ✺
22.03.26	Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey	6:5 ✺
22.03.26	Luke Humphries - Jermaine Wattimena	6:1 ✺
21.03.26	Luke Humphries - Dirk van Duijvenbode	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWWW
- Jonny Clayton
Darts
06.04.26	Danny Noppert - Jonny Clayton	6:1 ✺
06.04.26	Jonny Clayton - Kim Huybrechts	6:4 ✺
05.04.26	Jonny Clayton - Marcel Hausotter	6:5 ✺
02.04.26	Jonny Clayton - Josh Rock	4:6 ✺
26.03.26	Jonny Clayton - Josh Rock	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
19.03.26	Jonny Clayton - Luke Humphries	3:6
05.03.26	Luke Humphries - Jonny Clayton	4:6
26.10.24	Luke Humphries - Jonny Clayton	10:3
11.10.24	Luke Humphries - Jonny Clayton	3:1
22.07.23	Jonny Clayton - Luke Humphries	17:15
27.11.21	Jonny Clayton - Luke Humphries	10:9 best of 19 legs
20.10.20	Luke Humphries - Jonny Clayton	3:5 best of 9 legs

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