Match Info

Premier League - Night 4 - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: SSE Arena (Belfast)


	Michael Van Gerwen		Gerwyn Price

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.72
	2.25	1.6
	2.27	1.53
	2.2	1.67
	2.35	1.55	Watch
	2.15	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.08)	1.63 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
42%

Gerwyn Price
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Gerwyn Price has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerwyn Price than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Michael Van Gerwen - Gerwyn Price Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Van Gerwen will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Price will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Gerwen (votes: 1 - 50%). Price (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4. Price is ranked World Ranking: 10.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 3.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Price may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Price will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 117:108. (average 5.9:5.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Gerwyn Price - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 54.72%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
19.02.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Littler	Littler L. ✺
12.02.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock	6:2 ✺
10.02.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Charlie Manby	6:3 ✺
05.02.26	Stephen Bunting - Michael Van Gerwen	2:6 ✺
29.01.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Damon Heta	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 ?WWWL
- Gerwyn Price
Darts
19.02.26	Jonny Clayton - Gerwyn Price	6:3 ✺
12.02.26	Jonny Clayton - Gerwyn Price	5:6 ✺
12.02.26	Gerwyn Price - Gian Van Veen	6:5 ✺
10.02.26	Cristo Reyes - Gerwyn Price	2:6 ✺
10.02.26	Gerwyn Price - Kim Huybrechts	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
28.06.25	Gerwyn Price - Michael Van Gerwen	6:3
03.04.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Gerwyn Price	Price G.
23.03.25	Gerwyn Price - Michael Van Gerwen	4:6
13.03.25	Gerwyn Price - Michael Van Gerwen	6:1
06.03.25	Gerwyn Price - Michael Van Gerwen	3:6
09.05.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Gerwyn Price	6:3
21.03.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Gerwyn Price	5:6

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